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Red265
1168111.6
103141.9
6808102.3
Blue279
423110.6
4454113.2
316165.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2353430100200300400500600265279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#17
141.92.1
127.2129.3
Auto17.2
Teleop109.7
End15.5
blue by 24.0
316
#7
165.81.3
159.1160.4
Auto18.8
Teleop132.8
End14.5
Second
1168
#16
111.61.7
104.1105.9
Auto17.9
Teleop84.7
End10.4
blue by 1.6
4454
#21
113.24.4
113.2117.6
Auto14.9
Teleop83.5
End16.7
Third
6808
#30
102.34.9
98.1102.9
Auto15.2
Teleop79.1
End10.4
blue by 8.3
423
#11
110.60.8
111.0111.8
Auto17.2
Teleop83.1
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed