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Red433
1807152.4
2168177.9
3974142.4
Blue181
4373127.0
5895145.1
2559127.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374261100200300400500600433181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.91.5
158.5160.0
Auto21.5
Teleop142.4
End14.7
red by 32.8
5895
#20
145.12.5
141.4143.9
Auto16.8
Teleop108.7
End19.6
Second
1807
#24
152.46.9
126.2133.1
Auto20.8
Teleop107.1
End25.6
red by 25.2
2559
#12
127.26.7
112.8119.5
Auto16.4
Teleop93.6
End17.4
Third
3974
#15
142.40.5
145.5145.0
Auto18.9
Teleop105.7
End17.3
red by 15.4
4373
#27
127.00.7
125.5126.2
Auto16.2
Teleop88.5
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed