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Red165
204103.7
709131.4
423110.6
Blue391
486143.1
5181134.6
103141.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2163580100300400500600700165391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
709
#19
131.43.0
119.5122.6
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End21.3
blue by 11.8
486
#25
143.10.2
143.4143.6
Auto18.7
Teleop107.7
End15.5
Second
423
#11
110.60.1
111.8111.9
Auto17.2
Teleop83.1
End11.6
blue by 31.2
103
#17
141.90.4
129.3129.7
Auto17.2
Teleop109.7
End15.5
Third
204
#23
103.70.3
108.6108.2
Auto16.0
Teleop75.5
End9.3
blue by 30.9
5181
#18
134.65.2
122.1127.4
Auto18.4
Teleop103.0
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed