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Red271
1807152.4
4342176.9
423110.6
Blue320
5895145.1
1218159.0
8791.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354290150200250400450500271320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.91.9
168.4170.3
Auto28.2
Teleop123.9
End25.5
red by 17.9
159.00.9
154.8155.7
Auto20.9
Teleop117.2
End23.3
Second
1807
#24
152.44.1
144.0148.1
Auto20.8
Teleop107.1
End25.6
red by 7.3
5895
#20
145.10.6
144.1144.7
Auto16.8
Teleop108.7
End19.6
Third
423
#11
110.60.7
112.1112.7
Auto17.2
Teleop83.1
End11.6
red by 19.0
87
#31
91.60.4
89.188.7
Auto12.4
Teleop71.0
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed