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Red446
433156.7
5407162.9
4373127.0
Blue166
4454113.2
709131.4
5181134.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3582590100200300400500446166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.91.5
151.3152.8
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End32.0
red by 28.3
5181
#18
134.61.4
132.0133.3
Auto18.4
Teleop103.0
End10.8
Second
433
#8
156.70.7
150.7151.4
Auto20.8
Teleop110.4
End24.5
red by 25.4
709
#19
131.42.4
124.6127.0
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End21.3
Third
4373
#27
127.00.7
126.0125.3
Auto16.2
Teleop88.5
End22.0
red by 13.8
4454
#21
113.22.0
116.4114.4
Auto14.9
Teleop83.5
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed