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Red395
2168177.9
2559127.2
103141.9
Blue133
316165.8
2234116.1
204103.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355238100200300400500600395133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.92.7
164.9167.7
Auto21.5
Teleop142.4
End14.7
red by 12.0
316
#7
165.81.4
161.8163.2
Auto18.8
Teleop132.8
End14.5
Second
103
#17
141.92.7
131.1133.9
Auto17.2
Teleop109.7
End15.5
red by 25.8
2234
#28
116.11.3
113.2114.4
Auto17.6
Teleop85.8
End13.5
Third
2559
#12
127.20.1
123.3123.4
Auto16.4
Teleop93.6
End17.4
red by 23.5
204
#23
103.70.6
108.0107.4
Auto16.0
Teleop75.5
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed