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Red322
316165.8
1218159.0
3929155.6
Blue179
1807152.4
6808102.3
709131.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4032140100300500600322179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#7
165.80.5
163.2163.7
Auto18.8
Teleop132.8
End14.5
red by 13.4
1807
#24
152.41.9
148.1150.0
Auto20.8
Teleop107.1
End25.6
Second
159.00.5
155.7156.2
Auto20.9
Teleop117.2
End23.3
red by 27.7
709
#19
131.41.3
128.4129.7
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End21.3
Third
155.61.3
152.1153.5
Auto19.9
Teleop118.9
End14.0
red by 53.3
6808
#30
102.30.7
103.5102.8
Auto15.2
Teleop79.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed