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Red329
1495143.7
5404149.5
433156.7
Blue169
1168111.6
3974142.4
486143.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345294150200250400450500550329169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
#8
156.71.3
152.6153.9
Auto20.8
Teleop110.4
End24.5
red by 13.6
486
#25
143.10.2
144.2144.4
Auto18.7
Teleop107.7
End15.5
Second
149.50.4
145.0145.4
Auto19.7
Teleop105.2
End26.4
red by 7.1
3974
#15
142.40.3
145.0144.7
Auto18.9
Teleop105.7
End17.3
Third
1495
#10
143.70.1
141.6141.7
Auto18.9
Teleop108.2
End14.2
red by 32.1
1168
#16
111.60.9
107.9108.7
Auto17.9
Teleop84.7
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed