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Red350
5181134.6
423110.6
4373127.0
Blue330
5895145.1
321132.4
190120.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703330100200300400500600350330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5181
#18
134.60.1
134.0134.0
Auto18.4
Teleop103.0
End10.8
blue by 10.5
5895
#20
145.10.4
145.0144.5
Auto16.8
Teleop108.7
End19.6
Second
4373
#27
127.00.6
125.3125.9
Auto16.2
Teleop88.5
End22.0
blue by 5.4
321
#29DQ
132.40.3
130.3130.6
Auto14.1
Teleop101.1
End17.9
Third
423
#11
110.61.2
113.0111.8
Auto17.2
Teleop83.1
End11.6
blue by 9.6
190
#22
120.22.4
123.9121.4
Auto18.0
Teleop91.3
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed