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Red359
204103.7
2559127.2
225216.4
Blue259
2234116.1
4342176.9
8791.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4032380100200300500600359259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2
216.42.5
208.2210.7
Auto29.0
Teleop158.0
End28.0
red by 39.5
176.91.4
171.5173.0
Auto28.2
Teleop123.9
End25.5
Second
2559
#12
127.21.2
124.0125.2
Auto16.4
Teleop93.6
End17.4
red by 11.1
2234
#28
116.10.5
114.0114.5
Auto17.6
Teleop85.8
End13.5
Third
204
#23
103.71.1
106.4105.3
Auto16.0
Teleop75.5
End9.3
red by 12.1
87
#31
91.60.8
88.289.0
Auto12.4
Teleop71.0
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed