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Red375
4454113.2
1218159.0
4342176.9
Blue281
5181134.6
6808102.3
316165.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351279100200400500375281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#9DQ
176.91.5
173.0174.4
Auto28.2
Teleop123.9
End25.5
red by 11.1
316
#7
165.80.2
163.7163.6
Auto18.8
Teleop132.8
End14.5
Second
159.00.2
156.0156.2
Auto20.9
Teleop117.2
End23.3
red by 24.4
5181
#18
134.60.3
134.0134.3
Auto18.4
Teleop103.0
End10.8
Third
4454
#21
113.20.1
112.8112.7
Auto14.9
Teleop83.5
End16.7
red by 10.9
6808
#30
102.30.5
102.8102.3
Auto15.2
Teleop79.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed