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Red369
225216.4
423110.6
486143.1
Blue245
433156.7
2095101.1
1807152.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3972760100200500600369245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2DQ
216.41.8
210.7212.5
Auto29.0
Teleop158.0
End28.0
red by 59.7
433
#8
156.71.5
153.9155.3
Auto20.8
Teleop110.4
End24.5
Second
486
#25
143.10.2
144.4144.1
Auto18.7
Teleop107.7
End15.5
blue by 9.3
1807
#24
152.40.7
151.2151.9
Auto20.8
Teleop107.1
End25.6
Third
423
#11
110.60.7
111.8111.1
Auto17.2
Teleop83.1
End11.6
red by 9.5
2095
#26
101.10.3
101.8101.5
Auto14.3
Teleop77.8
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed