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Red259
2095101.1
709131.4
2234116.1
Blue199
6808102.3
204103.7
4373127.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2862600100200400500600700800259199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
709
#19
131.410.5
90.9101.3
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End21.3
red by 4.3
4373
#27
127.00.1
125.6125.5
Auto16.2
Teleop88.5
End22.0
Second
2234
#28
116.111.2
82.493.6
Auto17.6
Teleop85.8
End13.5
red by 12.4
204
#23
103.70.7
111.4110.8
Auto16.0
Teleop75.5
End9.3
Third
2095
#26
101.19.4
85.294.6
Auto14.3
Teleop77.8
End8.5
blue by 1.2
6808
#30
102.339.9
117.677.7
Auto15.2
Teleop79.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed