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Red195
225216.4
5181134.6
8791.6
Blue435
103141.9
1218159.0
1495143.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3692580100200300400500600700195435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2
216.41.2
198.2199.4
Auto29.0
Teleop158.0
End28.0
red by 57.4
159.011.7
104.6116.3
Auto20.9
Teleop117.2
End23.3
Second
5181
#18
134.612.5
96.5109.0
Auto18.4
Teleop103.0
End10.8
blue by 9.1
1495
#10
143.72.5
129.8132.3
Auto18.9
Teleop108.2
End14.2
Third
87
#31
91.67.7
82.490.1
Auto12.4
Teleop71.0
End9.5
blue by 50.3
103
#17
141.97.2
104.2111.4
Auto17.2
Teleop109.7
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed