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Red367
1168111.6
7110130.7
709131.4
Blue329
2234116.1
1495143.7
1807152.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953380100200400500600367329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
709
#19
131.40.5
130.5131.0
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End21.3
blue by 21.0
1807
#24
152.40.4
151.9152.3
Auto20.8
Teleop107.1
End25.6
Second
7110
#14
130.71.1
126.9128.0
Auto17.6
Teleop97.9
End17.3
blue by 13.0
1495
#10
143.71.1
142.2143.2
Auto18.9
Teleop108.2
End14.2
Third
1168
#16
111.60.9
109.1110.0
Auto17.9
Teleop84.7
End10.4
blue by 4.6
2234
#28
116.10.8
115.3116.1
Auto17.6
Teleop85.8
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed