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Red182
2559127.2
8791.6
321132.4
Blue408
5895145.1
2539153.5
316165.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2064130100300500600700182408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#29
132.40.4
131.2131.6
Auto14.1
Teleop101.1
End17.9
blue by 33.4
316
#7
165.80.1
163.6163.7
Auto18.8
Teleop132.8
End14.5
Second
2559
#12
127.21.1
125.5126.6
Auto16.4
Teleop93.6
End17.4
blue by 26.4
2539
#13
153.50.3
152.7153.0
Auto20.0
Teleop111.1
End22.1
Third
87
#31
91.61.5
90.191.6
Auto12.4
Teleop71.0
End9.5
blue by 53.5
5895
#20
145.10.0
144.7144.8
Auto16.8
Teleop108.7
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
5%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed