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Red256
484133.1
11128.1
321138.3
Blue373
4361157.0
4027162.1
272148.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733980200600800256373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#25
138.30.0
138.3138.3
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End12.9
blue by 23.9
162.10.0
162.1162.1
Auto25.4
Teleop122.6
End15.3
Second
484
#18
133.10.0
133.1133.1
Auto18.5
Teleop103.0
End10.4
blue by 23.9
4361
#10
157.00.0
157.0157.0
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End17.8
Third
11
#29
128.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto16.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
blue by 20.8
272
#17
148.90.0
148.9148.9
Auto21.3
Teleop101.9
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest odds95%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds22%Face the Boss odds