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Red231
3151114.3
1712182.2
341182.7
Blue383
1218179.2
1676165.9
103159.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35634802006008001,000231383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#15
182.70.0
182.7182.7
Auto22.2
Teleop132.5
End29.9
red by 3.6
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto19.8
Teleop131.0
End30.0
Second
182.20.0
182.2182.2
Auto21.7
Teleop143.3
End18.7
red by 16.3
1676
#21
165.90.0
165.9165.9
Auto17.6
Teleop121.2
End30.1
Third
3151
#28
114.30.0
114.3114.3
Auto20.5
Teleop82.8
End12.0
blue by 45.0
103
#33
159.30.0
159.3159.3
Auto18.4
Teleop130.2
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest odds77%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss odds66%Face the Boss odds