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Red345
4342155.6
834169.8
1495127.9
Blue416
484130.6
5420142.8
486140.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373300100200400500600345416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#1
169.80.9
165.5166.4
Auto18.9
Teleop123.9
End31.2
red by 27.0
5420
#12
142.80.0
142.5142.5
Auto14.0
Teleop107.9
End21.8
Second
155.60.9
151.3152.2
Auto23.7
Teleop112.9
End21.4
red by 15.0
486
#14
140.50.1
139.9140.0
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End14.8
Third
1495
#22
127.90.9
123.7124.6
Auto16.5
Teleop95.5
End19.6
blue by 2.7
484
#17
130.60.4
131.5131.1
Auto17.6
Teleop101.9
End10.6