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Red293
4342155.6
834169.8
1495127.9
Blue385
2607158.3
708179.3
2180142.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343406100200300500600700293385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#1
169.80.9
168.1169.0
Auto18.9
Teleop123.9
End31.2
blue by 9.5
708
#5
179.30.5
177.7178.2
Auto23.4
Teleop128.0
End29.1
Second
155.60.9
153.9154.8
Auto23.7
Teleop112.9
End21.4
blue by 2.7
2607
#10
158.31.1
154.4155.5
Auto17.3
Teleop117.5
End25.9
Third
1495
#22
127.90.9
126.3127.1
Auto16.5
Teleop95.5
End19.6
blue by 14.3
2180
#21
142.20.2
141.7141.9
Auto19.3
Teleop100.9
End21.3