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Red407
4342155.6
834169.8
1495127.9
Blue278
484130.6
5420142.8
486140.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372308100200400500600407278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#1
169.80.9
166.4167.3
Auto18.9
Teleop123.9
End31.2
red by 27.0
5420
#12
142.80.1
142.5142.6
Auto14.0
Teleop107.9
End21.8
Second
155.60.9
152.2153.0
Auto23.7
Teleop112.9
End21.4
red by 15.0
486
#14
140.50.2
140.0140.3
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End14.8
Third
1495
#22
127.90.8
124.6125.4
Auto16.5
Teleop95.5
End19.6
blue by 2.7
484
#17
130.60.3
131.1130.8
Auto17.6
Teleop101.9
End10.6