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Red221
5420142.8
1391132.5
1712154.2
Blue418
1640177.4
5407150.4
1279142.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311310250300350400221418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.211.9
103.7115.6
Auto25.6
Teleop116.2
End10.4
blue by 23.2
177.47.0
121.9128.9
Auto22.5
Teleop132.6
End22.2
Second
5420
#12
142.812.8
95.3108.2
Auto14.0
Teleop107.9
End21.8
blue by 7.7
150.48.6
101.9110.5
Auto18.5
Teleop113.8
End18.4
Third
1391
#24
132.59.2
111.2120.4
Auto21.0
Teleop97.9
End13.9
blue by 10.0
1279
#28
142.512.0
102.5114.5
Auto19.7
Teleop107.7
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed