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Red318
4637116.0
486140.5
2180142.2
Blue158
5684126.9
403596.3
4373125.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2802720100200400500600700800318158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2180
#21
142.212.8
93.3106.1
Auto19.3
Teleop100.9
End21.3
red by 15.3
5684
#26
126.99.1
100.4109.5
Auto19.2
Teleop90.1
End19.7
Second
486
#14
140.59.3
97.3106.7
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End14.8
red by 14.8
4373
#18
125.712.5
87.299.7
Auto16.4
Teleop91.9
End20.1
Third
4637
#25
116.06.4
96.9103.3
Auto14.1
Teleop89.1
End17.9
red by 19.6
4035
#40
96.310.4
82.092.4
Auto11.4
Teleop81.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed