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Red196
4750109.5
708179.3
341143.4
Blue309
2729146.1
3929142.9
5420142.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102960100200400500600700196309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#5
179.38.4
119.0127.4
Auto23.4
Teleop128.0
End29.1
red by 33.2
146.113.3
96.8110.2
Auto26.2
Teleop107.9
End10.2
Second
341
#23
143.44.1
124.7128.8
Auto15.4
Teleop110.7
End16.4
red by 0.5
142.96.7
112.9119.6
Auto19.7
Teleop107.1
End15.2
Third
4750
#29
109.54.5
115.4119.9
Auto14.2
Teleop87.6
End9.9
blue by 33.3
5420
#12
142.87.8
108.2116.0
Auto14.0
Teleop107.9
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed