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Red423
365169.7
423110.0
1712154.2
Blue243
1391132.5
747143.0
403596.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172660100200400500600700423243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#2
169.71.4
129.8131.2
Auto22.7
Teleop132.1
End12.3
red by 26.7
747
#16
143.02.3
125.3127.5
Auto16.6
Teleop109.5
End17.9
Second
154.27.2
115.6122.8
Auto25.6
Teleop116.2
End10.4
red by 21.8
1391
#24
132.55.4
120.4125.8
Auto21.0
Teleop97.9
End13.9
Third
423
#36
110.08.0
104.4112.4
Auto16.6
Teleop86.4
End7.4
red by 13.7
4035
#40
96.34.5
92.496.9
Auto11.4
Teleop81.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed