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Red283
486140.5
4373125.7
692195.9
Blue306
4342155.6
321132.1
5113109.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443110100200400500600283306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#14
140.58.1
106.7114.7
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End14.8
blue by 15.0
155.612.3
115.6127.8
Auto23.7
Teleop112.9
End21.4
Second
4373
#18
125.75.9
99.7105.6
Auto16.4
Teleop91.9
End20.1
blue by 6.5
321
#35
132.15.0
105.6110.6
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End15.6
Third
6921
#30
95.95.0
92.097.0
Auto12.5
Teleop78.6
End4.4
blue by 13.8
5113
#27
109.75.1
102.1107.3
Auto18.9
Teleop83.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed