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Red243
666793.2
834169.8
5684126.9
Blue275
272146.1
1279142.5
204111.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291288220240260280300320340360380243275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#1
169.810.7
123.0133.7
Auto18.9
Teleop123.9
End31.2
red by 23.7
272
#11
146.12.4
118.0120.5
Auto18.0
Teleop99.3
End34.2
Second
5684
#26
126.93.6
109.5113.1
Auto19.2
Teleop90.1
End19.7
blue by 15.6
1279
#28
142.510.7
114.5125.2
Auto19.7
Teleop107.7
End16.4
Third
6667
#38
93.26.9
90.497.3
Auto14.6
Teleop72.5
End2.8
blue by 18.3
204
#34
111.51.9
99.8101.7
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed