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Red192
702495.4
1370114.4
2180142.2
Blue399
203146.6
3974143.7
5407150.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243240100400500600192399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2180
#21
142.210.3
106.1116.4
Auto19.3
Teleop100.9
End21.3
blue by 8.2
150.48.4
110.5118.9
Auto18.5
Teleop113.8
End18.4
Second
1370
#33
114.40.9
104.5105.4
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End14.4
blue by 32.2
203
#20
146.61.6
117.3118.9
Auto20.7
Teleop112.1
End17.3
Third
7024
#39
95.43.6
85.388.9
Auto13.8
Teleop73.7
End9.1
blue by 48.4
3974
#19
143.78.2
117.0125.1
Auto19.0
Teleop112.3
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed