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Red260
341143.4
1391132.5
1279142.5
Blue285
702495.4
834169.8
403596.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3492460100200300400500600700260285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#23
143.41.0
128.8129.8
Auto15.4
Teleop110.7
End16.4
blue by 26.4
834
#1
169.87.3
133.7141.0
Auto18.9
Teleop123.9
End31.2
Second
1279
#28
142.58.7
125.2133.9
Auto19.7
Teleop107.7
End16.4
red by 46.1
4035
#40
96.33.0
96.999.9
Auto11.4
Teleop81.9
End4.1
Third
1391
#24
132.53.7
125.8129.5
Auto21.0
Teleop97.9
End13.9
red by 37.1
7024
#39
95.42.2
88.991.1
Auto13.8
Teleop73.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed