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Red266
272146.1
3929142.9
486140.5
Blue407
2191140.2
1640177.4
365169.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263343100200300400500266407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#11
146.13.1
120.5123.6
Auto18.0
Teleop99.3
End34.2
blue by 31.3
177.46.6
136.2142.8
Auto22.5
Teleop132.6
End22.2
Second
142.95.5
119.6125.1
Auto19.7
Teleop107.1
End15.2
blue by 26.8
365
#2
169.73.9
131.2135.1
Auto22.7
Teleop132.1
End12.3
Third
486
#14
140.55.4
114.7120.1
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End14.8
red by 0.3
2191
#15
140.29.0
118.0127.0
Auto18.0
Teleop106.2
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed