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Red115
692195.9
3151117.5
204111.5
Blue425
5407150.4
2729146.1
486140.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123570100300400500600115425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3151
#37
117.56.9
102.3109.2
Auto19.9
Teleop88.5
End9.7
blue by 32.9
150.48.7
118.9127.6
Auto18.5
Teleop113.8
End18.4
Second
204
#34
111.53.2
104.5107.6
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End12.0
blue by 34.6
146.17.8
120.1127.9
Auto26.2
Teleop107.9
End10.2
Third
6921
#30
95.93.2
97.0100.3
Auto12.5
Teleop78.6
End4.4
blue by 44.6
486
#14
140.53.5
120.1123.6
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed