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Red556
341143.4
321132.1
3929142.9
Blue279
2191140.2
272146.1
4954126.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293305200250350400450500550556279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#23
143.40.3
129.8129.5
Auto15.4
Teleop110.7
End16.4
blue by 2.8
272
#11
146.12.1
123.6125.7
Auto18.0
Teleop99.3
End34.2
Second
142.93.6
125.1128.7
Auto19.7
Teleop107.1
End15.2
red by 2.7
2191
#15
140.27.7
127.0134.7
Auto18.0
Teleop106.2
End16.4
Third
321
#35
132.13.6
114.2117.8
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End15.6
red by 5.3
4954
#32
126.90.4
117.8118.2
Auto16.9
Teleop95.6
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned