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Red130
666793.2
433144.7
5113109.7
Blue427
2180142.2
5420142.8
5407150.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262365100200300400500600130427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
#13
144.75.8
127.5133.3
Auto20.1
Teleop106.2
End21.3
blue by 5.7
150.47.4
127.6135.0
Auto18.5
Teleop113.8
End18.4
Second
5113
#27
109.73.0
110.9113.9
Auto18.9
Teleop83.1
End8.9
blue by 33.0
5420
#12
142.84.7
122.1126.8
Auto14.0
Teleop107.9
End21.8
Third
6667
#38
93.25.7
102.0107.8
Auto14.6
Teleop72.5
End2.8
blue by 49.0
2180
#21
142.25.5
122.9128.4
Auto19.3
Teleop100.9
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned