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Red314
834169.8
1168103.7
2729146.1
Blue231
203146.6
403596.3
484130.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325259100200400500600314231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#1
169.85.3
141.0146.3
Auto18.9
Teleop123.9
End31.2
red by 23.2
203
#20
146.65.5
123.1128.5
Auto20.7
Teleop112.1
End17.3
Second
146.16.8
127.9134.7
Auto26.2
Teleop107.9
End10.2
red by 15.5
484
#17
130.62.7
119.3122.0
Auto17.6
Teleop101.9
End10.6
Third
1168
#31
103.71.3
101.1102.4
Auto14.3
Teleop84.5
End3.4
red by 7.4
4035
#40
96.32.3
99.9102.2
Auto11.4
Teleop81.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed