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Red313
3929142.9
1640177.4
4750109.5
Blue232
2607158.3
3151117.5
3974143.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192920100200400500600700313232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.412.2
109.7121.9
Auto22.5
Teleop132.6
End22.2
red by 19.1
2607
#10
158.312.9
103.3116.2
Auto17.3
Teleop117.5
End25.9
Second
142.914.3
90.3104.5
Auto19.7
Teleop107.1
End15.2
blue by 0.9
3974
#19
143.713.6
96.6110.2
Auto19.0
Teleop112.3
End11.0
Third
4750
#29
109.514.0
93.3107.3
Auto14.2
Teleop87.6
End9.9
blue by 8.0
3151
#37
117.516.1
73.289.3
Auto19.9
Teleop88.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed