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Red499
4954126.9
2607158.3
203146.6
Blue127
3151117.5
486140.5
1391132.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327294100200400500499127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#10
158.32.9
132.6135.6
Auto17.3
Teleop117.5
End25.9
red by 17.8
486
#14
140.54.6
132.5137.1
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End14.8
Second
203
#20
146.62.2
135.8137.9
Auto20.7
Teleop112.1
End17.3
red by 14.2
1391
#24
132.50.2
133.3133.5
Auto21.0
Teleop97.9
End13.9
Third
4954
#32
126.92.7
121.5124.1
Auto16.9
Teleop95.6
End12.6
red by 9.4
3151
#37
117.52.3
113.2115.5
Auto19.9
Teleop88.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed