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Red373
1168103.7
5113109.7
747143.0
Blue117
423110.0
1279142.5
666793.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248333100200300400500373117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
747
#16
143.00.4
132.6132.2
Auto16.6
Teleop109.5
End17.9
red by 0.5
1279
#28
142.51.2
146.2147.5
Auto19.7
Teleop107.7
End16.4
Second
5113
#27
109.72.5
112.3109.9
Auto18.9
Teleop83.1
End8.9
blue by 0.3
423
#36
110.01.7
127.3125.5
Auto16.6
Teleop86.4
End7.4
Third
1168
#31
103.70.0
101.2101.2
Auto14.3
Teleop84.5
End3.4
red by 10.5
6667
#38
93.23.1
107.7104.5
Auto14.6
Teleop72.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed