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Red436
484130.6
1640177.4
3974143.7
Blue182
4954126.9
5684126.9
321132.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372280100200400500600436182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.42.2
163.9166.1
Auto22.5
Teleop132.6
End22.2
red by 45.3
321
#35
132.12.4
129.9132.3
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End15.6
Second
3974
#19
143.70.7
143.9143.2
Auto19.0
Teleop112.3
End11.0
red by 16.9
4954
#32
126.94.1
124.1128.2
Auto16.9
Teleop95.6
End12.6
Third
484
#17
130.61.5
127.6129.1
Auto17.6
Teleop101.9
End10.6
red by 3.7
5684
#26
126.92.5
123.8126.3
Auto19.2
Teleop90.1
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed