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Red264
2729146.1
4637116.0
203146.6
Blue572
666793.2
365169.7
747143.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347270100200300400500264572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#20
146.63.8
137.9141.8
Auto20.7
Teleop112.1
End17.3
blue by 23.1
365
#2
169.75.6
152.2157.9
Auto22.7
Teleop132.1
End12.3
Second
146.12.4
145.2147.6
Auto26.2
Teleop107.9
End10.2
red by 3.1
747
#16
143.02.0
132.2134.2
Auto16.6
Teleop109.5
End17.9
Third
4637
#25
116.00.3
115.4115.6
Auto14.1
Teleop89.1
End17.9
red by 22.8
6667
#38
93.24.9
104.599.6
Auto14.6
Teleop72.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed