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Red191
204111.5
403596.3
4342155.6
Blue331
3929142.9
3974143.7
2191140.2
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143700100300400500600191331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.62.1
146.0148.1
Auto23.7
Teleop112.9
End21.4
red by 11.8
3974
#19
143.70.6
143.2143.8
Auto19.0
Teleop112.3
End11.0
Second
204
#34
111.50.2
110.5110.7
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End12.0
blue by 31.4
142.91.3
138.3139.7
Auto19.7
Teleop107.1
End15.2
Third
4035
#40
96.33.2
102.599.3
Auto11.4
Teleop81.9
End4.1
blue by 43.8
2191
#15
140.21.5
143.7142.2
Auto18.0
Teleop106.2
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed