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Red334
5420142.8
4373125.7
1640177.4
Blue209
484130.6
692195.9
365169.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330284100200400500600334209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.42.6
166.1168.6
Auto22.5
Teleop132.6
End22.2
red by 7.7
365
#2
169.75.3
157.9163.2
Auto22.7
Teleop132.1
End12.3
Second
5420
#12
142.81.1
143.1141.9
Auto14.0
Teleop107.9
End21.8
red by 12.2
484
#17
130.62.1
129.1131.2
Auto17.6
Teleop101.9
End10.6
Third
4373
#18
125.71.2
120.6121.8
Auto16.4
Teleop91.9
End20.1
red by 29.8
6921
#30
95.92.7
103.6100.9
Auto12.5
Teleop78.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed