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Red345
3151117.5
834169.8
1495127.9
Blue364
341143.4
5113109.7
1712154.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3043130100200400500600700345364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#1
169.80.7
161.7162.5
Auto18.9
Teleop123.9
End31.2
red by 15.6
154.20.8
147.2148.0
Auto25.6
Teleop116.2
End10.4
Second
1495
#22
127.91.5
118.8120.3
Auto16.5
Teleop95.5
End19.6
blue by 15.5
341
#23
143.41.3
138.8140.1
Auto15.4
Teleop110.7
End16.4
Third
3151
#37
117.50.6
115.3115.9
Auto19.9
Teleop88.5
End9.7
red by 7.8
5113
#27
109.70.7
110.4109.7
Auto18.9
Teleop83.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed