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Red178
666793.2
4954126.9
2729146.1
Blue227
1391132.5
5684126.9
423110.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337271100200300400500600178227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.10.8
147.6148.4
Auto26.2
Teleop107.9
End10.2
red by 13.7
1391
#24
132.50.1
131.8131.7
Auto21.0
Teleop97.9
End13.9
Second
4954
#32
126.91.7
128.2129.9
Auto16.9
Teleop95.6
End12.6
Level
5684
#26
126.90.8
126.3127.1
Auto19.2
Teleop90.1
End19.7
Third
6667
#38
93.21.9
99.697.7
Auto14.6
Teleop72.5
End2.8
blue by 16.8
423
#36
110.04.9
121.3116.4
Auto16.6
Teleop86.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed