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Red237
1370114.4
321132.1
203146.6
Blue308
1279142.5
4637116.0
708179.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313322250300350400237308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#20
146.61.7
141.8143.5
Auto20.7
Teleop112.1
End17.3
blue by 32.7
708
#5
179.32.4
170.2172.7
Auto23.4
Teleop128.0
End29.1
Second
321
#35
132.10.6
132.3132.8
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End15.6
blue by 10.3
1279
#28
142.51.7
145.0143.3
Auto19.7
Teleop107.7
End16.4
Third
1370
#33
114.41.4
111.4112.8
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End14.4
blue by 1.6
4637
#25
116.00.5
115.6115.1
Auto14.1
Teleop89.1
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed