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Red299
403596.3
4750109.5
321132.1
Blue230
1391132.5
666793.2
1495127.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2922660100200400500600700800299230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#35
132.115.3
81.096.3
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End15.6
blue by 0.3
1391
#24
132.513.5
97.7111.2
Auto21.0
Teleop97.9
End13.9
Second
4750
#29
109.58.1
107.3115.4
Auto14.2
Teleop87.6
End9.9
blue by 18.4
1495
#22
127.96.3
92.198.4
Auto16.5
Teleop95.5
End19.6
Third
4035
#40
96.317.1
64.982.0
Auto11.4
Teleop81.9
End4.1
red by 3.1
6667
#38
93.217.5
61.078.5
Auto14.6
Teleop72.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed