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Red245
486140.5
5113109.7
5684126.9
Blue216
423110.0
708179.3
1168103.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285294100150200250350400450245216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#14
140.515.2
82.297.3
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End14.8
blue by 38.8
708
#5
179.312.6
106.5119.0
Auto23.4
Teleop128.0
End29.1
Second
5684
#26
126.914.8
85.6100.4
Auto19.2
Teleop90.1
End19.7
red by 16.8
423
#36
110.015.6
78.594.1
Auto16.6
Teleop86.4
End7.4
Third
5113
#27
109.715.8
76.692.4
Auto18.9
Teleop83.1
End8.9
red by 6.0
1168
#31
103.716.9
66.383.2
Auto14.3
Teleop84.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed