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Red150
1279142.5
484130.6
321132.1
Blue451
403596.3
1712154.2
433144.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315301100200400500150451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#28
142.50.4
142.6142.9
Auto19.7
Teleop107.7
End16.4
blue by 11.8
154.21.4
149.5150.9
Auto25.6
Teleop116.2
End10.4
Second
321
#35
132.10.7
132.8132.1
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End15.6
blue by 12.5
433
#13
144.70.7
143.5144.1
Auto20.1
Teleop106.2
End21.3
Third
484
#17
130.60.4
131.9131.5
Auto17.6
Teleop101.9
End10.6
red by 34.2
4035
#40
96.30.8
97.196.3
Auto11.4
Teleop81.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed