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Red250
3974143.7
365169.7
1370114.4
Blue382
5113109.7
3929142.9
1391132.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370249100200300400500600700250382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#2
169.72.7
166.1168.8
Auto22.7
Teleop132.1
End12.3
red by 26.8
142.91.5
140.0141.6
Auto19.7
Teleop107.1
End15.2
Second
3974
#19
143.70.5
143.7144.2
Auto19.0
Teleop112.3
End11.0
red by 11.3
1391
#24
132.50.4
131.5131.9
Auto21.0
Teleop97.9
End13.9
Third
1370
#33
114.40.9
113.4114.4
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End14.4
red by 4.7
5113
#27
109.70.3
110.0109.7
Auto18.9
Teleop83.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed