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Red411
2471203.0
2557185.4
1778155.7
Blue325
2046218.0
1425207.6
6445139.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363354250300400450500411325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.00.2
202.8203.0
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
blue by 14.9
218.00.1
217.9218.0
Auto25.2
Teleop162.6
End29.8
Second
185.40.3
185.2185.4
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
blue by 22.1
207.60.2
207.8207.6
Auto20.6
Teleop146.5
End39.1
Third
1778
#31
155.70.1
155.9155.7
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
red by 16.2
6445
#46
139.50.1
139.5139.5
Auto16.3
Teleop111.5
End12.6