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Red181
2471203.0
2557185.4
1778155.7
Blue452
2046218.0
1425207.6
6445139.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377344200300400500600181452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.00.4
202.4202.8
Auto21.4
Teleop143.2
End37.5
blue by 14.9
218.00.1
217.8217.9
Auto25.2
Teleop162.6
End29.8
Second
185.40.5
184.7185.2
Auto22.3
Teleop142.0
End23.1
blue by 22.1
207.60.3
208.1207.8
Auto20.6
Teleop146.5
End39.1
Third
1778
#31
155.70.0
155.8155.9
Auto17.6
Teleop124.1
End12.0
red by 16.2
6445
#46
139.50.0
139.5139.5
Auto16.3
Teleop111.5
End12.6